Will there be a case of paralysis or death attributed to polio in the USA before 2030
One-OffHealth & Medicine3a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 68%
Previsores
12
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado14/12/24, 16:28 UTC31/12/29, 22:59 UTC
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Based on official confirmation (CDC, hospital where the case occurred).
- UPDATE 2026-07-12: Only new polio cases acquired after market creation count.
- If that was not clear previously, let me know and I will reimburse your trading losses based on the vague description.
Mercados abertos
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- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Volume total
- € 15,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 20,3 mil
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.6pt4%
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 8 mil
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume total
- € 84,1 mil
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- € 652,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 3,4 mil
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- Above 300099%
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- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 865,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 3 mil
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- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Volume total
- € 915,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1,2 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will there be a case of paralysis or death attributed to polio in the USA before 2030?
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 68% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will there be a case of paralysis or death attributed to polio in the USA before 2030 é resolvido?
- Will there be a case of paralysis or death attributed to polio in the USA before 2030 deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como Will there be a case of paralysis or death attributed to polio in the USA before 2030 é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Based on official confirmation (CDC, hospital where the case occurred).