Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 67.7%
Previsores
4
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 56 minutos
Atrasado14/04/26, 18:05 UTC31/12/30, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Will Nectome preserve at least one human by the end of 2027?
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Nectome is a human brain preservation company based in Oregon.
- They recently announced that they are beginning pre-sales and will soon be accepting patients.
- https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/E9xfgJHvs6M55kABD/less-dead
- This market resolves YES iff they credibly claim to have preserved at least one hundred human brain as part of their commercial offerings by Dec 30, 2030.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/MaxHarms/will-nectome-preserve-at-least-one)(https://manifold.markets/embed/MaxHarms/will-nectome-have-at-least-ten-pres)(https://manifold.markets/embed/MaxHarms/will-nectome-perform-1000-brain-pre-NLEAPP8EzA)
Mercados abertos
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- € 15,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 18,3 mil
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 5,2 mil
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 mais resultados
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume total
- € 916 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1,5 mil
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 863,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1 mil
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- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Nectome preserve at least 100 humans by the end of 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 68% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Nectome preserve at least 100 humans by the end of 2030? é resolvido?
- Will Nectome preserve at least 100 humans by the end of 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2030.
- Como Will Nectome preserve at least 100 humans by the end of 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Nectome is a human brain preservation company based in Oregon.