Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual🇮🇷 Iran 53.9%Líder entre 10 opções
Previsores
42
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado4/03/26, 12:37 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030
Manifold MarketsWill there be a nuclear war before 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill there be nuclear powered supersonic airplanes by 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill there be more nuclear warheads in the world in 2030 than 2023?
Manifold MarketsWhich Chinese tech companies announce a formal AI partnership with a Russian entity before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada sign a binding procurement contract for the Saab Gripen fighter before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If there is a nuclear detonation in 2026, resolves YES to all countries listed that detonate nuclear weapons in 2026, and NO to all countries that didn't.
- Otherwise, all options resolve N/A. Update 2026-03-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Nuclear tests (non-combat detonations) count toward resolution, not just wartime use.
