If AGI has an okay outcome, will it be via the MIRI path of a pause ended with the help of some other technology?
One-OffIATecnologia11a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 70.6%
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Atrasado7/04/26, 14:28 UTC1/01/38, 15:27 UTC
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Resolves N/A if AI does not have an OK outcome.
- Otherwise, resolves YES if:
- either humans are enhanced to allow for AI alignment OR some other technology takes us to the glorious transhuman future
- AND the pause was necessary in buying time for this.
- And NO otherwise.