Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualBefore 2027-02-16 94.5%+44.5ptLíder entre 7 opções
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+44.5 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado28/10/26, 15:52 UTC16/02/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsRegras
The '+' means any version at or above 6.2 counts: if OpenAI skips 6.2 and releases GPT 6.3 or GPT 7, that still counts for the purpose of this market.
- Minor changes to the name, or other names for a model generally expected to be called GPT 6.2, will also count.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.