PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 92.1%
Qualidade do mercado
62 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
53,5 €
Liquidez
4,1 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComments
2
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
29/01/26, 20:3831/12/26, 0:00
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
- Tools or features whose primary purpose is not to function as a social network, even if they allow limited user interaction, such as comments, reactions, or sharing, will not qualify unless they are clearly released and presented by OpenAI as a social network, social platform, or similar.
- A qualifying social network must be publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
Mercados abertos
AI
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- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
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- Company A50%
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- Claude+4.6pt68.6%
- Grok-2.1pt10.5%
- ChatGPT-2.8pt9.5%
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- Volume total
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026??
- A Polymarket cota No em 92% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI launches a social network by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Onde mais Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Manifold Markets.