Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 73.4%
Previsores
18
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado2/02/26, 15:3031/12/26, 23:59
Tendências
Regras
A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
- It must be available to the public beyond a closed beta or private access.
- More resolution criteria detail here.
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
Mercados abertos
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt93%
- Before Dec 1, 2026+4.0pt92%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+3.0pt92%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 158,8 mil
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $73,000 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+36 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 168,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 155,2 mil
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.9pt92%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.1pt97%
+10 mais resultados
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,89%
- October 31,+2.0pt83%
- October 15,-16.0pt53%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.8pt68.9%
- Grok-1.7pt10.7%
- ChatGPT-3.6pt8.7%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 7,9 mi
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 73% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: A social network refers to a platform or service developed by OpenAI that is primarily intended for users to create profiles or identities and publicly share, view, or interact with content or other users in a feed, network, or similar format.
- Onde mais Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.