Previsão da comunidade atual
No change 76.8%+1.4ptLíder entre 3 opções
Previsores
17
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+0.2 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado29/07/26, 18:1030/09/26, 23:59
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the September 2026 FOMC meeting (Sep. 15–16, 2026).
- The outcome is determined by the net basis-point change announced in the official March FOMC statement.
- If the Fed changes the rate by an amount not matching a displayed option, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 bps for resolution (e.g., a 12.5 bps move is treated as 25 bps).
- Resolution Sources:
- The official FOMC statement for the September2026 meeting:
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
- Também disponível em Gemini — Fed decision in September? · Fed maintains rate 66%
- Também disponível em Robinhood (Rothera) — Fed rate decision in September 2026 · Fed maintains rate 64%
- Também disponível em Futuur — Fed interest rate decision — September 2026 · No change 73%
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Fed decision in Sep 2026? · Fed maintains rate 65%
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Fed Decision in September? · No change 67%
- Também disponível em Limitless — Fed Decision in September? · No change 68%
Mercados abertos
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change-4.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 36,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,4 mi
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt66%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt31.1%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,1 mi
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0+0.4pt86.1%
- 1 (259.9%
- 2 (50-0.4pt3%
+10 mais resultados
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-1.3pt83.3%
- Exactly 1 cut-1.1pt9.8%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt2%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate+1.0pt64.4%
- Hike 25bps28.8%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2.7%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 138,6 mil
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change70.6%
- 25 bps increase23.5%
- 25 bps decrease+0.3pt3.9%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
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Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Fed decision in September??
- A Manifold Markets cota No change em 77% em 21 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando Fed decision in September? é resolvido?
- Fed decision in September? deverá ser resolvido em 30 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Fed decision in September? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the September 2026 FOMC meeting (Sep. 15–16, 2026).
- Onde mais Fed decision in September? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Gemini, Robinhood (Rothera), Futuur, Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless.