Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 90.9%
Previsores
16
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado18/01/26, 00:26 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?
KalshiWhich countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
PolymarketUS Trade Deficit in 2026?
PolymarketUS trade deficit for 2026?
KalshiWill the EU-Mercosur free trade agreement be ratified by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?
KalshiRegras
Resolves YES if the EU formally activates the Anti-Coercion Instrument (sometimes known as the trade bazooka) against the United States—meaning the Council confirms by qualified majority that US measures constitute economic coercion under Regulation 2023/2675—before January 1, 2027 CET.
- Preliminary Commission examination or political threats to use the ACI do not count; only a formal Council determination triggers resolution.
Mercados abertos
Trade PolicyPOLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 3156%
- October 31+0.5pt31.2%
- September 30+4.0pt12.8%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 106,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,4 mil
KALSHISouth Carolina ports total container volume in 2026
- Above 2.2 million TEUs94%
- Above 2.3 million TEUs84%
- Above 2.4 million TEUs56%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 13,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 4,7 mil
KALSHIWhat will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?
- Fold / Folding / Foldable+10.0pt88%
- Ultra+5.0pt87%
- Apple Intelligence83%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 22,7 mil
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.0pt7%
+3 mais resultados
KALSHIWhich sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
- Canadian aircraft+10.0pt34%
- Wind turbines23%
- Critical minerals-29.0pt11%
+1 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 25,3 mil
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes-7.0pt70%
- No30%
- Volume total
- € 1,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 683,1
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
- How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de EU activates Trade Bazooka against the US before 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 91% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando EU activates Trade Bazooka against the US before 2027? é resolvido?
- EU activates Trade Bazooka against the US before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como EU activates Trade Bazooka against the US before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if the EU formally activates the Anti-Coercion Instrument (sometimes known as the trade bazooka) against the United States—meaning the Council confirms by qualified majority that US measures constitute economic coercion under Regulation 2023/2675—before January 1, 2027 CET.