Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
> $1 trillion 40.8%Líder entre 9 opções
> $1 trillion 40.8%Previsores
32
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado11/02/25, 18:38 UTC22/01/29, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Conditional on Trump being elected president in 2024, will a Republican also be elected in 2028?
Manifold MarketsConditional on Trump being elected in 2024, will the Supreme Court allow him to seek a third term in 2028?
Manifold MarketsConditional on Trump running for a third term, will he win?
Manifold MarketsConditional on Trump getting elected, how will the US democracy index have changed by the end of his term.
Manifold MarketsUSA experiences a "meltdown" in November, 2026
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen in 2026 related to AI?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve to the price range that encompasses the final purchase price IF the United States successfully purchases Greenland during Trump's presidency.
- The price must be officially announced and confirmed by both governments.
- Prices denominated in USD.
- Purchase prices on the limit of two price bands count toward the lower band.
- (For example, a price of $50 billion would count towards the $10-50 billion option.)
