Conditional on Iran developing a nuclear weapon, will Iran nuke Israel?
GeopolíticaOne-OffOriente Médio4a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 78%
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18
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binary
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Atualizado há 26 minutos
20/03/26, 23:07 UTC1/01/31, 00:04 UTC
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PolymarketRegras
Resolves yes if Iran builds a nuclear bomb and then nukes Israel.
- Both a nuclear first strike and a response to Israeli nuclear weapons use count as yes.
- Resolves N/A if Iran does not develop a nuclear weapon.