By 2025, over 60% of Americans will believe that the UFO/UAP sightings by the military are aliens?
GeopolíticaOne-OffCiênciaSociedade e cultura3a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 94.6%
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78
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado21/12/22, 16:28 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC
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Based on Gallup surveys. 33% said aliens in 2019. 41% said aliens in 2022.
- Criteria: Resolves based on first post-January 1st, 2025 Gallup survey asking "We have a question about unidentified flying objects, also known as UFOs.
- Which comes closer to your view -- [some UFOs have been alien spacecraft visiting Earth from other planets or galaxies, (or) all UFO sightings can be explained by human activity on Earth or natural phenomenon]?" https://news.gallup.com/poll/350096/americans-believe-ufos.aspx
- Update 2025-11-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Gallup never polls this question again, the market will resolve N/A.
