Assembly of Experts hit by US or Israeli attack in 2026 and at least one cleric dies
One-OffMiddle EastGeopolítica3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 93.3%
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27
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binary
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado2/03/26, 04:43 UTC1/01/27, 07:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if, between now and December 31, 2026, the Assembly of Experts is hit by a US or Israeli attack and at least one cleric member dies as a result.
- Resolution will be based on credible reporting from major international news outlets (Reuters, AP, BBC, Al Jazeera, etc.) confirming both the attack on the Assembly and at least one confirmed death of a member.
- The market resolves NO if no such attack occurs by the deadline, or if an attack occurs but no members are killed.
- The Assembly of Experts is the deliberative body empowered to appoint the Supreme Leader of Iran.
- The Assembly consists entirely of Shiite clerics who are popularly elected every eight years and whose candidacies are approved by the Guardian Council.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Assembly of Experts hit by US or Israeli attack in 2026 and at least one cleric dies?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 93% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Assembly of Experts hit by US or Israeli attack in 2026 and at least one cleric dies é resolvido?
- Assembly of Experts hit by US or Israeli attack in 2026 and at least one cleric dies deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Assembly of Experts hit by US or Israeli attack in 2026 and at least one cleric dies é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria