As of November 2028, will any of the current 50 US states attempt to secede from the Union.
GeopolíticaOne-OffUS Politics2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 84.9%
Previsores
26
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado28/12/23, 13:16 UTC1/11/28, 10:59 UTC
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- Will resolve NO if all current states are still part of the union on market close.
- This includes scenarios where states merge.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de As of November 2028, will any of the current 50 US states attempt to secede from the Union.?
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 85% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando As of November 2028, will any of the current 50 US states attempt to secede from the Union. é resolvido?
- As of November 2028, will any of the current 50 US states attempt to secede from the Union. deverá ser resolvido em 1 de novembro de 2028.
- Como As of November 2028, will any of the current 50 US states attempt to secede from the Union. é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Will resolve YES if any US state declares independence or secession from the United States, even if it is unsuccessful due to military action or otherwise.