2026 a nightmare year for Trump?

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de 2026 a nightmare year for Trump??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 95% em 27 de outubro de 2026.

Quando 2026 a nightmare year for Trump? é resolvido?

2026 a nightmare year for Trump? deverá ser resolvido em 27 de novembro de 2026.

Como 2026 a nightmare year for Trump? é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If ALL of the following occur: Trump's VoteHub approval rating drops below 35% in 2026 AND Democrats win control of the House of Representatives after the midterms AND the U.S. enters a recession between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Use este mercado em código ou em um agente de IA

JSON gratuito deste mercado, sem chave de API:

Agentes de IA: chame pm_data_event no servidor MCP da CoinRithm:

KALSHI

Recession this year?

• No97.5%
• Yes-3.0pt2.5%

Volume total

€ 3,4 mi

Volume 24h

€ 37,4 mil

KALSHI

Core CPI YoY in November

• Above 2.0%98.5%
• Above 2.2%98.5%
• Above 2.3%98.5%

KALSHI

Unemployment in November

• Above 3.7%+2.0pt96%
• Above 3.8%-8.0pt92%
• Above 3.9%-5.0pt82.5%

KALSHI

Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?

• No64%
• Yes+3.0pt36%

Volume total

€ 31,9 mil

Volume 24h

€ 8,7 mil

KALSHI

CPI in November

• Above -0.1%+5.0pt92.5%
• Above 0.0%+1.0pt81.5%
• Above 0.1%+1.0pt

KALSHI

CPI YoY in December

• Above 3.0%96.5%
• Above 3.1%95.5%
• Above 3.3%94.5%

• Recession in 2027?
• October Unemployment Rate
• CPI in October
• US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
• Wisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
• CPI in December
• CPI YoY in November
• Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
• Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
• Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)
• US recession by end of 2026?
• Core CPI in November