KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before Jan 20, 2029 47.4%Líder entre 3 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
37 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
343,9 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
9/07/26, 00:00 UTC1/01/27, 14:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
At the end of 2027 will both OpenAI and Anthropic be public companies?
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KalshiTop AI model in September?
KalshiRegras
If the U.S. federal government has taken a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:The Financial TimesThe InformationMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforABCNBCThe Washington Postthe Associated PressReutersAxiosFox NewsCNNPoliticoBloomberg NewsCBSCNBCThe New York Times
- Taking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests.
- This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity.
- Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold.
- Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings.
- Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes.
Mercados abertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 132,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 100,3 mil
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
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- Volume total
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- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
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- Volume total
- € 322,4 mil
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 mais resultados
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
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- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
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- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
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- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic??
- A Kalshi cota Before Jan 20, 2029 em 47% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic? é resolvido?
- Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the U.S. federal government has taken a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.