KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem atividade de negociação
Dados de 9 de set. de 2026, 15:11 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Above $500 billion 0%Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado
39 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconhecidaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
26/08/26, 19:00 UTC5/02/29, 13:25 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
US trade deficit for 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2028 is strictly the named outcome dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the nominal goods and services balance on a balance-of-payments basis.
- It will not use the goods-only deficit, the advance goods report, the December monthly deficit, or inflation-adjusted trade data.
- Because the agencies generally report the balance as a negative number, the market will use the absolute size of the deficit.
- For example, an annual trade balance of −$800.1 billion constitutes a trade deficit of $800.1 billion.
- Resolution will use the first annual estimate published in the release covering December of 2028.
Mercados abertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 91 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 569,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 47,4 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 359,2 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.5%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.5%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,900+1.0pt82%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 79,7 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%+5.0pt86%
- Above 0.2%36%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 18,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,3 mil
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI in September
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI-U index in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Core CPI YoY - August 2026
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de US trade deficit for 2028?
- A Kalshi cota Above $500 billion em 0% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando US trade deficit for 2028 é resolvido?
- US trade deficit for 2028 deverá ser resolvido em 5 de fevereiro de 2029.
- Como US trade deficit for 2028 é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2028 is strictly the named outcome dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.