KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above -0.62 98%+1.0ptLíder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado
69 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
8,5 mil €
Liquidez
13,1 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
14/09/26, 19:00 UTC30/09/26, 12:29 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiWill the US Consumer Confidence Index be above 68 in September 2026?
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PolymarketRegras
If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending September 25, 2026 is above
Liquida via:Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
- -0.62, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index (“NFCI”) refers to the headline NFCI published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
- It does not refer to the Adjusted National Financial Conditions Index (“ANFCI”) or any individual component or contribution to the NFCI.
- This market will resolve using the NFCI value for the week ending September 25, 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago update that reports that week.
- Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.
Mercados abertos
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt54.5%
- No change-6.0pt43.6%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 6,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 935,7 mil
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-6.0pt43.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.4pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 mais resultados
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt66%
- No change-1.0pt30.1%
- 25 bps decrease1.9%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)-2.0pt58.8%
- 3 (75 bps)+5.6pt23.5%
- 1 (25 bps)-2.0pt16.7%
+3 mais resultados
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.2pt95%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.8pt5%
- Exactly 5 cuts0%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 8,5 mi
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
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Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September?
- A Kalshi cota Above -0.62 em 98% em 19 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September é resolvido?
- Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September deverá ser resolvido em 30 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in September é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending September 25, 2026 is above