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Dados de 7 de nov. de 2026, 06:16 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Ponto médio do livro selecionado
Sim · —
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Preço registado
Sim 62.5%
Sim 62.5%Qualidade do mercado
62 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
3,2 mil €
Contratos em aberto
4 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioCompra / Venda
— / —
SimSpread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado5/11/26, 03:00 UTC31/12/27, 15:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Sim
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
If Democrats win the Senate in 2026, will there be a federal government shutdown in 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf Republicans keep the Senate in 2026, will there be a federal government shutdown in 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf Democrats win the House in 2026, will there be a federal government shutdown in 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf Republicans keep the House in 2026, will there be a federal government shutdown in 2027?
Manifold MarketsGovernment shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?
KalshiGovernment shutdown by which date?
PolymarketRegras
A regra exata deste resultado não está disponível.
- A shutdown is defined as the government's orderly suspension of agency work that is not legally excepted, typically accompanied by furloughing the employees who perform that work, when funding is unavailable. Shutdown status is recorded at 10:00 AM ET each day. Partial shutdowns are included. A shutdown lasting "at least X days" requires the shutdown to be in effect at 10:00 AM ET on X+1 consecutive days. For example, if a shutdown is first in effect at 10:00 AM ET on October 1, 2026, and remains in effect at 10:00 AM ET on October 2, 2026, the shutdown has lasted at least 1 day. Examples that would count toward the shutdown day count: OMB releases a formal directive that orders heads of the affected agencies to "execute plans for an orderly shutdown," which is in effect as of 10:00 AM ET on the relevant date OPM posts a current operating status that indicates that "due to a partial lapse in appropriations, Federal Government operations vary by agency" During an ongoing shutdown, OPM posts a status referencing an Executive Order excusing employees for a holiday, but does not indicate the government has resumed normal operations Examples that would NOT count toward the shutdown day count: A technical lapse in appropriations occurs, but OMB directs agencies to continue standard operations Government closures or operating status changes resulting exclusively from Federal holidays, inclement weather, or other emergencies, unless such closures coincide with a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations A shutdown that began before Jan 1, 2027 counts for the days it is in effect from Jan 1, 2027.
Regras de cada resultado
- Yes
- A regra exata deste resultado não está disponível.
- No
- A regra exata deste resultado não está disponível.