KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado está fechado e aguardando uma resolução confirmada.
Aguardando resolução verificada
A CoinRithm aguarda uma liquidação confirmada pelo provedor antes de tratar este mercado como resolvido.
Probabilidade implícita atual
Before Jan 1, 2027 18%Líder entre 4 opções
Before Jan 1, 2027 18%Qualidade do mercado
30 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Contratos em aberto
4 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: médioDados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 minutos
8/09/26, 22:00 UTC1/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Before Jan 1, 202718%
Before Dec 1, 20268%
Before Nov 1, 20265%
Before Oct 1, 2026Perdeu
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
When will Canada lower tariffs on the US?
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Manifold MarketsWill the Bank of Canada raise the rate 25bps at the December 9, 2026 meeting?
ForecastExWill Trump raise tariffs on any G7 country to more than 50%?
Manifold MarketsUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
PolymarketRegras
A regra exata deste resultado não está disponível.
Liquida via:Prime Minister of Canada
- Only reporting from the Prime Minister of Canada qualifies for the purposes of this market. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. The publication must expressly commit Canada to impose a new Canadian tariff or increase an existing Canadian tariff on U.S. goods. It must be an official speech, statement, or press release issued personally or in the prime minister's name. A specified future effective date qualifies. Minister- or agency-only announcements, negotiating objectives, noncommittal statements of intent that do not expressly commit Canada, general aspirations, preliminary discussions, threats, conditional proposals, and the automatic activation or expiry of a previously announced measure do NOT qualify. A new decision to reimpose a previously removed tariff or increase an existing tariff qualifies. Reports merely referencing publications before Issuance do NOT qualify unless they explicitly reaffirm a qualifying new decision made after Issuance.
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the Prime Minister of Canada has personally and officially announced a new decision made after Issuance committing Canada to impose a new Canadian tariff or increase an existing Canadian tariff on U.S. goods after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If the Prime Minister of Canada has personally and officially announced a new decision made after Issuance committing Canada to impose a new Canadian tariff or increase an existing Canadian tariff on U.S. goods after Issuance and before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If the Prime Minister of Canada has personally and officially announced a new decision made after Issuance committing Canada to impose a new Canadian tariff or increase an existing Canadian tariff on U.S. goods after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If the Prime Minister of Canada has personally and officially announced a new decision made after Issuance committing Canada to impose a new Canadian tariff or increase an existing Canadian tariff on U.S. goods after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.