KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before Jan 1, 2027 63%Líder entre 4 opções
Before Jan 1, 2027 63%Qualidade do mercado
45 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
232,7 €
Liquidez
647,4 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 minutos
24/09/26, 02:00 UTC1/12/26, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
When will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
KalshiWhen will Anthropic release Mythos?
KalshiClaude Fable 5.2+ (Anthropic) release date
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic release a first-party image generation model in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic release Opus 6?
KalshiWill Anthropic release an open-weights model in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If an Anthropic product has implemented a general-purpose personal AI agent that remembers the user and starts multi-step tasks across third-party apps on its own the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:AnthropicTechCrunchThe VergeArs TechnicaWiredReutersBloomberg TechnologyThe InformationThe Wall Street Journal Technology sectionVentureBeatEngadgetThe New York Times Technology sectionAssociated Press Technology coverageAxios Technology newsletterPolitico Technology coverage
- The function must be live and processing user interactions, not explicitly labeled as "beta," "test," "experimental," "preview," or "early access" or similar, and officially acknowledged by the company through announcements, documentation, or help pages.
- Implementation includes direct integration into the product's interface, automatic application to user accounts, user-initiated activation through official controls, API implementation, or policy changes that operationally enforce the function.
- Announcements without deployment, employee-only testing, technical documentation without implementation, and third-party additions without authorization do not qualify.
- The implementation must occur in the United States unless otherwise specified.
- If it meets these conditions, it counts from the first date it is live for users outside the company, including in a gradual rollout or a waitlist, invitation-only, or paid-tier release.
