Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 85.8%
Previsores
32
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 minutos
5/08/26, 23:16 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market resolves to YES if, between the market's creation and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT, Anthropic officially releases a new, distinct model line that does not belong to any of the following four existing categories:
- Claude Haiku
- Claude Sonnet
- Claude Fable
- An "officially released model line" is defined as a model announced via Anthropic's official communication channels (such as the Anthropic News Page or official developer documentation) featuring entirely new branding or tier classifications distinct from the four categories listed above.
- Clarifications and Edge Cases:
