FutuurVerificar disponibilidadeDados de resolução verificadosProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 94%
Não 94%Qualidade do mercado
32 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
648,4 €
Baixa liquidezTraders
11
Comentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 minuto
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran get a nuclear weapon before the Islamic Republic falls?
Manifold MarketsIf the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran falls by 2030, will Reza Pahlavi lead the new government a year later?
Manifold MarketsIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegras
This event predicts whether the state of Iran will formally cease to be designated as an Islamic Republic at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, a qualifying outcome means an official change in the country’s constitutional name or form of government that removes the “Islamic Republic” designation.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements by Iran’s government or constitutional documents reflecting such a change.
- If Iran officially changes its constitutional name or form of government to omit the “Islamic Republic” designation during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- A coup, contested proclamation, or unrecognized declaration will not count unless acknowledged by Iran’s governing institutions or recognized by the United Nations.