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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd5 jan 26, 10:21 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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Will the Fed raise the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExECB Interest Rates: October 2026
PolymarketECB Interest Rates: December 2026
PolymarketWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWhich central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegels
This is a sequel to this market: @/Tumbles/will-tumbles-understand-why-raising I haven't given up yet.
- I am Tumbles, and I have had the relationship between interest rates and inflation explained many times.
- I have gone back and forth with chatGPT about it on more than one occasion.
- I still do not grasp the fundamental mechanisms at play.
- Resolution Criteria:
- This resolves YES if Tumbles feels he grasps the shape of the fundamental mechanisms that connect the federal interest rate to inflation.
