PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
↑ 6.50% 100%+13.4ptIn testa tra 14 esiti
Qualità del mercato
66 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,6K €
Liquidità
15,5K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+11.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
3 feb 26, 18:55 UTC31 dic 26, 00:00 UTC
Trend
100%
100%
100%
100%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
- This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published.
- If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
- Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final.
Mercati aperti
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt44.7%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 34,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53%
- No change-2.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 543,5K €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt90.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.0pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)2%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 44,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026??
- Polymarket quota ↑ 6.50% al 100% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026??
- Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey.