PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
September 1 100%In testa tra 30 esiti
Qualità del mercato
52 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
11,6K €
Liquidità
64,9K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
15.9 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-42.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
31 ago 26, 23:31 UTC30 set 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketWill russia occupy kyiv at any point before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRussia to take Kyiv by force in 2026?
FutuurWill Kyiv remain in the 10 least livable cities in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Russia, directed at Kyiv.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Russia target Kyiv on??
- Polymarket quota September 1 al 100% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Russia target Kyiv on??
- Will Russia target Kyiv on? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Russia target Kyiv on??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russia targets Kyiv through a qualifying military action on the specified date, Kyiv time.