Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 83%
Previsori
46
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto11 mag 25, 00:09 UTC1 gen 30, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Russia occupy Dnipro ( Dnepropetrovs'k ) at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia target Kyiv on?
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketRegole
i will resolve this market according to my subjective opinion. i will try to consider and understand the opinions of people commenting on this market.
- i will not trade on this market.
- if any of the conditions below apply for >=7 days before 2030, the market resolves "yes".
- if russia occupies kyiv or control it militarily for >=7 days this market resolves "yes".
- if ukraine gov seems very pro russia to me in or before 2030, i will then resolve to "yes".
- Update 2025-05-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the condition "if russia occupies kyiv or control it militarily for >=7 days this market resolves 'yes'", the >=7 days must be consecutive.