Will Russia occupy Dnipro ( Dnepropetrovs'k ) at the end of 2026?
GeopoliticaOne-OffRussia / Ucraina2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 95.7%
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto5 mar 26, 22:01 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Russian forces establish full military control over the city of Dnipro by December 31, 2026.
- Full control means Russian forces occupy the city proper and maintain administrative authority over it.
- The resolution will be determined by official statements from the Ukrainian government, Russian government, or verified reports from established military monitoring organizations such as the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) or DeepState.
- If the city remains under Ukrainian control or is only partially occupied, the market resolves NO.
- Dnipro was not successfully captured by Russian forces during the initial 2022 offensive, but did suffer heavy shelling by Russian artillery.