PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 86.1%+5.5pt
No 86.1%+5.5ptQualità del mercato
69 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
4,2K €
Liquidità
10,6K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
12.0% / 15.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 minuti fa
6 ott 26, 16:06 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will China impose a travel ban on Americans to Shenzhen for any period lasting more than 2 months before 2030?
Manifold MarketsPlague pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRussia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
PolymarketAnother pneumonic plague case in Russia by which date?
PolymarketWill a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
KalshiConfirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026?
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government issues a measure banning entry into the United States by Russian nationals or by travelers who have been physically present in Russia or any specified region within Russia, on plague-related grounds between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying measure is a proclamation, executive order, rule, or equivalent formal action that prohibits or suspends entry into US territory by Russian citizens or nationals, or by travelers who have been physically present in Russia or any specified region within Russia, whatever lookback period the measure uses.
- Russian nationality or physical presence in Russia or a specified region within Russia must be an express criterion determining who is subject to the entry prohibition.
- A measure that bars entry of Russian nationals as a class or travelers with such physical presence qualifies even if it carries exceptions or applies only to certain visa categories.
- The measure, or the official announcement issuing it, must cite plague, Yersinia pestis, or the suspected plague incident reported from Irkutsk Oblast, Russia in October 2026 as a basis for the entry prohibition.