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Dati al 8 set 2026, 23:20 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
December 31 6%+0.2pt
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
8,9K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
0.2% / 1.0%
Spread
0.8 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-1.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
26 mag 26, 17:03 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Israel military action against Beirut by which date?
PolymarketWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
PolymarketU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by which date?
PolymarketWill the US reopen its embassy in Syria?
KalshiWill a significant event occur at the Swedish embassy in Belarus before 2031?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran nuclear deal?
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
- Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
- The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by which date??
- Polymarket quota December 31 al 6% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by which date??
- U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.