PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attualeSì 5%
Qualita del mercato
61 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
15,7K €
Liquidità
14,6K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
4.8% / 5.3%
Spread
10.4%
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
+1.1%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
26 mag 26, 17:1330 giu 26, 0:00
Trend
Esito scelto
Yes5%
Mercati Correlati
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3,8 Mln €December 31: 68%POLYMARKET
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3,3 Mln €July 31: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by...?
812,4K €June 30: 31%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4,6K €Sì: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow long will “indefinite extension” US x Iran ceasefire hold? (Weeks)
1,9K €3 weeks+ (May 12th, 1pm): 100%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US-Iran nuclear deal?
752,4 €Before July: 8%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S.
- Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
- Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
- The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.