PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 95%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
11,3K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
4.0% / 5.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
2
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
1 mar 26, 20:09 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
PolymarketWill the US reopen its embassy in Syria?
KalshiU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by which date?
PolymarketU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by which date?
PolymarketIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
- Any opening of a U.S. embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
- Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
- The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S.; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercati aperti
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 25,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 695K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volume totale
- 6,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 107,6K €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Volume totale
- 1,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 104,5K €
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026??
- Polymarket quota No al 95% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026??
- Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.