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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Middle East
  3. Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

0.4% (24h)One-OffMiddle East3g
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 1%
Qualita del mercato

73 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

1,2 Mln €

Liquidità

416,3K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

0.5% / 0.6%

Spread

20.0%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

-2.9%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 2 minuti fa

26 mag 26, 5:1615 giu 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes1%

Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 15, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
  • Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
  • This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
  • If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.

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Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,654.11+2.24%EthereumETH$1,650.53+1.54%SolanaSOL$65.16+1.55%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.54%XRPXRP$1.12+0.17%BNBBNB$595.19+1.49%

Notizie Correlate

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsBlackRock warns of energy shock as May CPI is set to show acceleration in inflationCoindeskThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsNo-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.NewsBitcoin pump to $63,700 triggers the most short liquidations since late AprilCoindeskMajor cryptocurrencies under pressure as oil jumps 3%Coindesk

Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and June 15, 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
  • Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
  • This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
  • If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.