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Dati al 1 set 2026, 21:00 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
September 30 96%-1.0ptIn testa tra 10 esiti
Qualità del mercato
60 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
40K €
Liquidità
90K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo14 ago 26, 21:4631 ott 26, 23:59
Trend
0%
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini," be labeled "Flash" rather than "Flash-Lite," be positioned as Google's core general-purpose Gemini Flash model, and be designated as version 3.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 3.8 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.7 Flash would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash, while models labeled "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.8, such as Gemini 3.7 Flash, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash Image, Gemini Flash-Lite Image, Gemini Omni Flash, or Flash TTS or Live models, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETNext Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- October 31+2.4pt99%
- September 30+4.0pt96%
- September 15+1.5pt89%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 934,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 195K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.2pt68%
- ChatGPT-1.2pt12.6%
- Grok+0.4pt9.7%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 8,3 Mln €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,95%
- October 31,90%
- October 15,-2.0pt68%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,9 Mln €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
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- Moonshot-13.9pt13.9%
- Z.ai-8.0pt5.9%
+8 altri esiti
GEMINIBTC price on September 1
- $77,000 or above88%
- $77,250 or above75.5%
- $77,500 or above52%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 31,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 31,6K €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- October 31+1.0pt94%
- September 30-5.5pt81%
- September 2576%
+8 altri esiti
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Next Mythos-Class Model released on?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+): Text Arena Debut?
- Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released on?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by which date??
- Polymarket quota September 30 al 96% al 1 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by which date??
- Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).