PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
December 31, 65%-8.0ptIn testa tra 13 esiti
Qualita del mercato
50 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
30,9K €
Liquidità
44,5K €
Alta liquiditàComments
69
Variazione 7g
-1.9 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
7 ago 25, 20:451 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
- The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
- GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Riferimento CoinRithm December 31, 2026 78% · 2 piattaforme · banda di 4 pt
- Disponibile anche su Futuur — GPT-6 released by ...? · December 31, 2026 68%
- Disponibile anche su Gemini — GPT-6 released by...? · December 31, 2026 75%
Mercati aperti
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+2.0pt93%
- Before Dec 1, 2026+4.0pt92%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+3.0pt92%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 158,8K €
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $73,000 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+36 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 168,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 155,2K €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.9pt92%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.1pt97%
+10 altri esiti
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,89%
- October 31,+2.0pt83%
- October 15,-16.0pt53%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.8pt68.9%
- Grok-1.7pt10.7%
- ChatGPT-3.6pt8.7%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 7,9 Mln €
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI market share this week
- BMW Championship Winner
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- XRP price on August 21
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- ZEC price on August 21
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per GPT-6 released by which date??
- Polymarket quota December 31, al 65% al 22 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve GPT-6 released by which date??
- GPT-6 released by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato GPT-6 released by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- Dove altro è quotato GPT-6 released by which date??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Futuur, Gemini.