PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
October 31 88%+0.5ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
Qualita del mercato
69 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
20,5K €
Liquidità
20,3K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
7.0% / 9.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoComments
16
Variazione 7g
-8.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
1 ago 26, 21:5231 ott 26, 23:59
Trend
0%
Regole
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
- Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.4pt97%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 3,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 201K €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+10.0pt95%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,-1.0pt89%
- October 31,+7.0pt81%
- October 15,+42.5pt66%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.8pt68.6%
- Grok-1.8pt9.8%
- ChatGPT-2.5pt9.8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 7,8 Mln €
KALSHITime's Person of the Year for 2026
- Zohran Mamdani+2.0pt34%
- Pope Leo XIV-1.0pt17%
- Donald Trump+1.0pt14%
+22 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 864,5K €
GEMINIBMW Championship Winner
- Rory McIlroy16.3%
- Chris Gotterup9.3%
- Wyndham Clark8.4%
+30 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 30,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 28,5K €
- Best AI this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- XRP price on August 31
- BTC price on August 31
- OpenAI IPO by which date?
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
- When will OpenAI release Astra?
- New York Y vs Baltimore
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- XRP price on August 21
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per OpenAI’s Astra released by which date??
- Polymarket quota October 31 al 88% al 21 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve OpenAI’s Astra released by which date??
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato OpenAI’s Astra released by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.