KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attualeBefore 2027 60%-1.0%In testa tra 8 esiti
Qualita del mercato
80 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
2,7K €
Liquidità
22,6K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
59.0% / 63.0%
Spread
6.8%
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
25 giu 26, 19:001 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Before 202760%
Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets
GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date
1m
0%
0%
0%
+22 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità151 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
Volume totale40K €
Volume 24h446,7 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegole
If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
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If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.