KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before 2027 73%-2.0ptIn testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato
68 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
12,6K €
Liquidità
106,8K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
28.0% / 32.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
22 apr 26, 14:001 ott 26, 3:59
Trend
Regole
If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:OpenAI
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — GPT 6 (OpenAI) release date · Before September 2027 99%
Mercati aperti
AI
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-1.4pt97%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 3,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 201K €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+10.0pt95%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,-1.0pt89%
- October 31,+7.0pt81%
- October 15,+42.5pt66%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.8pt68.6%
- Grok-1.8pt9.8%
- ChatGPT-2.5pt9.8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 7,8 Mln €
KALSHITime's Person of the Year for 2026
- Zohran Mamdani+2.0pt34%
- Pope Leo XIV-1.0pt17%
- Donald Trump+1.0pt14%
+22 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 864,5K €
GEMINIBMW Championship Winner
- Rory McIlroy16.3%
- Chris Gotterup9.3%
- Wyndham Clark8.4%
+30 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 30,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 28,5K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will OpenAI release GPT-6??
- Kalshi quota Before 2027 al 73% al 21 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will OpenAI release GPT-6??
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato When will OpenAI release GPT-6??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato When will OpenAI release GPT-6??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Manifold Markets.