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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Economia
  3. Government shutdown by October 1?
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

EconomiaOne-OffPolitica3m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 43%
Qualita del mercato

28 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

5,2 €

Liquidità

164,5 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

24.0% / 61.0%

Spread

154.2%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 9 minuti fa

10 giu 26, 16:382 ott 26, 3:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes43%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government enters a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A U.S. federal government shutdown is considered to have gone into effect when there is a lapse in appropriations that results in federal government agencies suspending non-excepted operations, typically including the furlough of non-excepted federal employees.
  • A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress fails to enact, or the President fails to sign into law, legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
  • A lapse in appropriations where no federal agencies cease or suspend non-excepted operations will not qualify as a shutdown.
  • Partial shutdowns qualify.

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US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

3,2K €
Sì: 20%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

792,6 €
5.0%: 17%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

259,9 €
Sì: 27.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
June Unemployment Rate

June Unemployment Rate

134,5 €
4.3%: 32%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,632.16+2.05%EthereumETH$1,649.51+1.21%SolanaSOL$65.05+1.41%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.56%XRPXRP$1.12+0.17%BNBBNB$594.80+1.45%

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Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government enters a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A U.S. federal government shutdown is considered to have gone into effect when there is a lapse in appropriations that results in federal government agencies suspending non-excepted operations, typically including the furlough of non-excepted federal employees.
  • A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress fails to enact, or the President fails to sign into law, legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
  • A lapse in appropriations where no federal agencies cease or suspend non-excepted operations will not qualify as a shutdown.
  • Partial shutdowns qualify.