Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì 47%+0.1%
Qualita del mercato
40 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidità
3K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
40.0% / 54.0%
Spread
35.0%
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
-0.5%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
10 giu 26, 16:292 ott 26, 3:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes47%
Confronta le piattaforme· No
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMigliore in assoluto92% di corrispondenza · auto | Alta | 52% | +4pt | 592,2 € | 25,6K € | 13 minuti fa | Apri → |
 PolymarketQuesta pagina | Bassa | 53% | +5pt | 0 € | 3K € | 13 minuti fa |
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
1.0%2m
52%
-1.0%48%
91 • Alta qualitàSpread strettoAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale45,9K €
Volume 24h592,2 €
KALSHIRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government enters a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A U.S. federal government shutdown is considered to have gone into effect when there is a lapse in appropriations that results in federal government agencies suspending non-excepted operations, typically including the furlough of non-excepted federal employees.
- A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress fails to enact, or the President fails to sign into law, legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
- A lapse in appropriations where no federal agencies cease or suspend non-excepted operations will not qualify as a shutdown.
- Partial shutdowns qualify.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$69 lug10g di dati24 lug
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government enters a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A U.S. federal government shutdown is considered to have gone into effect when there is a lapse in appropriations that results in federal government agencies suspending non-excepted operations, typically including the furlough of non-excepted federal employees.
- A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress fails to enact, or the President fails to sign into law, legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
- A lapse in appropriations where no federal agencies cease or suspend non-excepted operations will not qualify as a shutdown.
- Partial shutdowns qualify.