PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
5.9 to 6.0 93.4%+94.5ptIn testa tra 6 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
5.9 to 6.0 93.4%+94.5ptQualità del mercato
44 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
4,3K €
Liquidità
3,7K €
Liquidità mediaCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 minuti fa
3 ott 26, 04:07 UTC4 ott 26, 18:00 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 0,1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will the biggest earthquake be on October 4, 2026?
PolymarketWill there be an earthquake causing at least 1 death in New Zealand by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWhat will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a 6.7 or greater magnitude earthquake in San Francisco in 2026?
Manifold MarketsMajor earthquake to hit the West Coast of the US by the end of 2026?
FutuurRegole
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the magnitude of the largest earthquake recorded globally on October 3, 2026, as reported by the USGS Earthquake Catalog.
- Brackets: the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome.
- Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
- The observation period is the UTC calendar day: 00:00 UTC to 23:59 UTC on October 3, 2026.
- An earthquake is assigned to the day containing its origin time.
- Magnitude refers to the USGS preferred magnitude value, listed under 'Magnitude' in the format column.