PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
4.2% 29.7%-0.5ptIn testa tra 9 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualita del mercato
58 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
648,4 €
Liquidità
12K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoComments
0
Variazione 7g
+3.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 minuti fa
7 ago 26, 17:104 set 26, 8:30
Trend
Regole
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
- The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
- The relevant data release is scheduled for September 4, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued.
- Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Riferimento CoinRithm 4.2% 33% · 2 piattaforme · banda di 0 pt
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Unemployment rate in Aug 2026? · Exactly 4.2% 26%
- Disponibile anche su ForecastEx — Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.4% in August 2026? · No 97%
- Disponibile anche su Limitless — August Unemployment Rate · 4.2% 29%
- Disponibile anche su Futuur — US unemployment rate — August 2026 · Above 3.7% 95%
Mercati aperti
Economy
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No78%
- Yes-6.0pt22%
- Volume totale
- 196,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 17K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 106,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 13,5K €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No93%
- Yes-1.0pt7%
- Volume totale
- 2,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 9,9K €
KALSHICPI core in October
- Above 0.1%98%
- Above 0.2%98%
- Above 0.0%66%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 6,5K €
KALSHIUnemployment in August
- Above 3.7%96%
- Above 3.8%96%
- Above 3.9%+4.0pt93%
+11 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 229,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 5,5K €
POLYMARKETJapan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
- 0.0%–0.8%+19.5pt25%
- 0.8%–1.6%+18.5pt21%
- -0.8%–0.0%+2.0pt18.6%
+7 altri esiti
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026
- UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- CPI in August
- U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
- US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per August Unemployment Rate?
- Polymarket quota 4.2% al 30% al 21 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve August Unemployment Rate?
- August Unemployment Rate dovrebbe risolversi il 4 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato August Unemployment Rate?
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for August 2026.
- Dove altro è quotato August Unemployment Rate?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi, ForecastEx, Limitless, Futuur.