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  1. Mercati Predittivi
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  3. U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?
U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?

U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?

EconomiaOne-OffBonds & Treasuries4m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 12%
Qualita del mercato

28 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0,1 €

Liquidità

173,5 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

9.0% / 11.0%

Spread

22.2%

Spread ampio
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

11 mar 26, 20:0020 ott 26, 12:29

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes12%

Regole

If the U.S. federal budget deficit as a percentage of GDP for fiscal year 2026, as reported in the U.S.

Kalshi
  • Treasury / Office of Management and Budget Joint Statement on Budget Results for Fiscal Year 2026, is below 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Asset Sensibili al Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,606.90+2.26%EthereumETH$1,649.46+1.58%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.57%

Mercati Correlati

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

30,3 €
4.3%: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?

10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?

11,4 €
5.1% or above: 7%KalshiKALSHI
30Y US Treasury Yield at month-end?

30Y US Treasury Yield at month-end?

3,6 €
Above 4.95%: 69%KalshiKALSHI
Treasury 10-year yield on Jun 12, 2026?

Treasury 10-year yield on Jun 12, 2026?

1,7 €
4.53% to 4.55%: 14%KalshiKALSHI
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

0,9 €
Sì: 4%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

0 €
$39 trillion: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Attivi in questi argomenti

DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.64%XRPXRP$1.12+0.27%BNBBNB$595.40+1.66%CardanoADA$0.1657+3.13%HyperliquidHYPE$54.92-0.62%LitecoinLTC$42.68+0.67%

Notizie Correlate

HashKey Group Joins HKMA’s Tokenised Bond Expert Group, Cementing Hong Kong’s Infrastructure PlayBlockchain ReporterJPMorgan, HSBC join Hong Kong tokenized bond working groupCrypto NewsHKMA Forms Tokenized Bond Expert Group to Advance MarketBlockchain.NewsBitwise model puts bitcoin fair value at $224,000 as sovereign-default hedgeCoindesk

Regole

If the U.S. federal budget deficit as a percentage of GDP for fiscal year 2026, as reported in the U.S.

Kalshi
  • Treasury / Office of Management and Budget Joint Statement on Budget Results for Fiscal Year 2026, is below 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.