Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 85.6%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto9 ago 26, 18:54 UTC1 gen 40, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
Manifold MarketsAt least 5 Millennium Prize problems solved by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?
KalshiHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if two distinct Millennium Prize Problems have solving dates no more than 365 days apart, and both solving dates occur before the market close.
- A problem's solving date is the earliest date on which a complete and correct solution was publicly available online.
- Correctness may be established retrospectively; subsequent recognition, peer review, or verification does not change the solving date.
- More clarifications:
- A claimed solution containing a substantive mathematical gap does not count.