Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 76.5%
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Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
1 ago 26, 16:23 UTC1 gen 40, 08:00 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill two Millennium Prize problems be solved in the same year?
Manifold MarketsWill all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
KalshiRegole
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Millennium_Prize_Problems
- (Identical market to: source market)
Mercati aperti
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 211K €
- Volume 24h
- 110,5K €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 21,3K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 104,9K €
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- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
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- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 77% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040??
- Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2040.
- Come viene liquidato Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Millennium_Prize_Problems