Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 61.9%
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 58 minuti fa
In ritardo6 apr 26, 18:28 UTC31 mar 28, 04:00 UTC
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Will TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 70% for 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 80% for 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill TOPCon technology share of global solar cell production exceed 90% for 2028?
Manifold MarketsUS share of global GDP in 2026
KalshiWill Year-over-year US Industrial Production exceed -6.5 in December 2026?
ForecastExRegole
This market resolves YES if TOPCon technology's share of global solar cell production (GW basis) for the full calendar year 2027 exceeds 80%, as reported by CPIA or InfoLink.
- YES if: TOPCon share >= 80% for 2027 NO if: TOPCon share < 80% for 2027
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- CPIA annual report — technology mix table
- InfoLink Consulting annual solar cell technology market share report
- BloombergNEF / Wood Mackenzie solar technology outlook
