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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Tecnologia
  3. How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?
How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?

How many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?

TecnologiaScienzaYearly6m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
At least 25
At least 25 91%
In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato

40 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

34,6 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

89.0% / 92.0%

Spread

3.4%

Spread moderato
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 4 minuti fa

13 mag 26, 22:001 gen 27, 4:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

At least 2591%

Regole

If at least 25 persons have received Neuralink brain-computer interface implants before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Only unique human individuals count toward the total, regardless of how many devices each person receives.
  • If one person receives multiple implants or device replacements, they count as one person.
  • Cumulative totals include all persons who have ever received a Neuralink implant, including those who may have had devices removed, experienced device failure, or are deceased.
  • Only successful implantations count; attempted implantations that are aborted during surgery (and thus not actually implanted) do not count.
  • The implantations need not occur after Issuance to count toward 25.

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Regole

If at least 25 persons have received Neuralink brain-computer interface implants before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Only unique human individuals count toward the total, regardless of how many devices each person receives.
  • If one person receives multiple implants or device replacements, they count as one person.
  • Cumulative totals include all persons who have ever received a Neuralink implant, including those who may have had devices removed, experienced device failure, or are deceased.
  • Only successful implantations count; attempted implantations that are aborted during surgery (and thus not actually implanted) do not count.
  • The implantations need not occur after Issuance to count toward 25.