Will OpenAI publicly claim a solution to a SECOND Millennium Prize Problem by November 30, 2026?
One-OffIAScienzaTecnologia1mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 75%
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Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
20 set 26, 22:07 UTC30 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if, on or before 2026-11-30 23:59 UTC, OpenAI - via an official OpenAI channel (openai.com blog/research page, the @OpenAI account, or a named OpenAI executive or researcher speaking officially) - publicly announces that OpenAI has solved any of these five Millennium Prize Problems: - Riemann Hypothesis - P versus NP - Yang-Mills existence and mass gap - Hodge Conjecture - Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture The Navier-Stokes problem does NOT qualify.
- OpenAI already announced a claimed Navier-Stokes result on 2026-09-08 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/); this market is about a SECOND, different problem.
- The announcement must be a claim of a COMPLETE solution or proof, credited to OpenAI's own work. "Substantial progress", an improved bound, a partial result, a solved special case, or a solution to a weakened/modified version does NOT count.
- Clay Mathematics Institute verification is NOT required - a credible public claim by OpenAI is sufficient.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Resolution sources, in order: official OpenAI channels (openai.com, @OpenAI); if the status of a claim is ambiguous, corroborating reporting consensus from Reuters, Nature, Science, Quanta Magazine, or the Associated Press.