Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 96.8%
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
13 ott 26, 04:48 UTC31 ott 26, 14:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will the biggest earthquake be on October 13, 2026?
PolymarketMajor earthquake to hit the West Coast of the US by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill San Francisco experience a major earthquake before 2030?
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KalshiRegole
This market will be resolved as YES only if an earthquake strong enough to be covered as major news outside Japan occurs between October 13 and October 31, 2026, Japan time.
- This applies to the 23 wards of the former Tokyo city and not the minor cities, towns, and outlying islands governed by the Tokyo Metropolitan prefecture.
- Judgment will be based on a mention in news coverage of an earthquake taking place in "central Tokyo" or mentioning as taking place specifically in one or more of the 23 wards, in an article posted to CNN's international edition website (edition.cnn.com).