Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 50.3%
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto26 gen 26, 17:52 UTC31 dic 33, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Algeria and Morocco reestablish diplomatic relations in 2026?
Futuur🇺🇸💥🇪🇺 Will there be a war between the United States and an EU country or European Union as a whole by end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a war over AI before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill France's next president officially apologize to Algeria for colonization?
Manifold MarketsAziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRegole
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Algeria%E2%80%93Morocco_relations
- Border skirmishes count as wars if there's more than a dozen dead.
- Update 2026-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For Western Sahara-related clashes at the Algeria border to count: both the Moroccan and Algerian governments must be involved in some capacity.
- It has to be soldiers (of some kind) vs soldiers, not just people with guns killing civilians.
- Update 2026-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For clashes involving non-state militias: the militia must be backed by the government to count toward resolution.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will there be a war between Morocco and Algeria before 2034??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 50% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will there be a war between Morocco and Algeria before 2034??
- Will there be a war between Morocco and Algeria before 2034? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2033.
- Come viene liquidato Will there be a war between Morocco and Algeria before 2034??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Algeria%E2%80%93Morocco_relations