Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 70.7%
Previsori
71
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto14 feb 24, 10:47 UTC21 feb 30, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Above-ground nuclear explosion by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf there are nuclear detonations by the end of 2026, by who?
Manifold MarketsWill a nuclear weapon explosion cause over 1,000 deaths before the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
PolymarketWill US annex any territory in 2026?
PolymarketUK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Here is the history of Nuclear Explosions :)
- September 2017: The most recent confirmed nuclear test occurred in North Korea.
- 2006, 2009, 2013, 2016, and 2017: North Korea conducted nuclear tests.
- 1998: India and Pakistan, non-signatories, last tested nuclear weapons.
- July 11, 1958: A nuclear weapon test occurred at Bikini Atoll with a yield of 9.3 megatons.
- September 19, 1962: A nuclear weapon test occurred at Novaya Zemlya.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,8K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030?
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 71% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030?
- Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030 dovrebbe risolversi il 21 febbraio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Here is the history of Nuclear Explosions :)