Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 03:37 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 66.6%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto23 lug 25, 21:33 UTC1 gen 35, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
The highest altitude nuclear explosion prior to market creation appears to be the third Argus test at 794 kilometers, but information is scarce.
- If that number is wrong, this market resolves based on the correct number.
- The explosion must be human-caused.
- A natural or alien one does not count.
- This resolves based on altitude above Earth, so an explosion on the moon or Mars would count.
- (Unless they get a lot closer, in which case I may not be able to resolve this market promptly.)
