U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
One-OffPoliticaGeopoliticaLatin AmericaUS Politics3m
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 97%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
21K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
2.9% / 3.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+0.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
31 gen 26, 00:24 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by which date?
PolymarketUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
PolymarketMaría Corina Machado enters Venezuela by which date?
PolymarketWill María Corina Machado be granted asylum outside Venezuela in 2026?
FutuurMaría Corina Machado enters Venezuela by which date?
LimitlessWill Maria Machado get nothing in exchange for her Nobel prize? (in 2026)
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
- A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified.
- Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
